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Themes

Key Themes
Artificial Intelligence
Central Banking
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Competition Policy
Development & Growth
Economic History
Energy
EU Economic Architecture
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Political Economy
Poverty and income inequality
Sustainable Finance
Ukraine Initiative
Women in Economics
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Trump & Tariffs

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C53

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Firm Heterogeneity and Structural Transformation in Developing Countries: Seven Decades of Plant-Level Evidence from Colombia

Firm Relocation as Environmental Policy: Impacts on Agglomeration, Workers and the Environment

Gender roles, work and structural transformation in a patriarchal society: Evidence from a household panel survey on Ghana

Gender, work and structural transformation

Heterogeneous Impacts of Market Integration: Evidence from Pakistan's Motorways

How Formal Property Rights Shape Social and Economic Networks: Evidence from a Land Tenure Reform Implemented as Randomized Control-Trial

Informality and the Cost of Children in Developing Countries

Marketplaces as focal points of structural transformation: understanding their emergence, persistence and decline using historical maps and satellite imagery

Measuring Global Industrial Policy: Patterns and Structure of IP Across Developing Economies, 2008-2020

Persistence of Inequality after the Apartheid: Assessing the role of Geography and Skills

Quantifying the Gains from Eradicating Malaria using a Structural Model

The impact of climate change on human capital accumulation: A macroeconomic perspective

The Impact of Multinationals on Informality: Evidence from Mexico

The interaction of public and private sector employment in least developed countries

Unpacking Economic Development: Evidence from Cohort- and Region-Level Data

Reducing Conflict and Improving Performance in the Economy (ReCIPE)

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C53

Discussion paper

DP20467 Inflation Forecast Targeting Revisited

Christian Conrad
Zeno Enders
Gernot Müller

18 Jul 2025

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C53
E52

Discussion paper

DP20462 Macroeconomic expectations in a war

Yuriy Gorodnichenko
Vittal Vasudevan

16 Jul 2025

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
F51
C53
E3

Discussion paper

DP20442 Nonparametric Mixed Frequency Monitoring Macro-at-Risk

Massimiliano Marcellino
Michael Pfarrhofer

9 Jul 2025

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C11
C22
C53
E31
E37

Discussion paper

DP20439 Predicting Financial Market Stress with Machine Learning

Inaki Aldasoro
Peter Hördahl
Andreas Schrimpf
Sonya Zhu

8 Jul 2025

Asset Pricing
G01
C53
G17
G12
G28

Discussion paper

DP20293 Long-Term Projections of the World Economy

Weifeng Larry Liu
Warwick Mckibbin

25 May 2025

International Macroeconomics and Finance
Macroeconomics and Growth
O40
O33
C53
C68

Discussion paper

DP20219 Scenario Synthesis and Macroeconomic Risk

Tobias Adrian
Domenico Giannone
Matteo Luciani
Mike West

9 May 2025

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C11
C53
E23
E32

Discussion paper

DP20082 Asset Embeddings

Xavier Gabaix
Ralph Koijen
Robert Richmond
Motohiro Yogo

27 Mar 2025

Asset Pricing
C53
G12
G23

Discussion paper

DP19965 Bayesian Nowcasting with Mixed Frequency Data Using Gaussian Processes

Niko Hauzenberger
Massimiliano Marcellino
Michael Pfarrhofer
Anna Stelzer

25 Feb 2025

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C11
C22
C53
E31
E37

Discussion paper

DP19915 Misspecification-Robust Shrinkage and Selection for VAR Forecasts and IRFs

Oriol Gonzalez-Casasus
Frank Schorfheide

5 Feb 2025

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
C11
C32
C52
C53

Discussion paper

DP19836 The Comovement of Voter Preferences: Insights from U.S. Presidential Election Prediction Markets Beyond Polls

Mikhail Chernov
Vadim Elenev
Dongho Song

8 Jan 2025

Political Economy
Public Economics
Asset Pricing
C32
C53
D72
P00

Discussion paper

DP19760 The Taming of the Skew: Asymmetric Inflation Risk and Monetary Policy

Andrea De Polis
Leonardo Melosi
Ivan Petrella

12 Dec 2024

Monetary Economics and Fluctuations
Macroeconomics and Growth
E52
E31
C53

Discussion paper

DP19564 Pitfalls of Demographic Forecasts of US Elections

Richard Calvo
Vincent Pons
Jesse Shapiro

8 Oct 2024

Political Economy
D72
J11
C53
P00

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